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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">microbe</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы особо опасных инфекций</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0370-1069</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-719X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21055/0370-1069-2019-2-30-36</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">microbe-1145</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОБЗОРЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REVIEWS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Обзор современной эпидемиологической обстановки по заболеваемости геморрагической лихорадкой с почечным синдромом в мире и прогноз заболеваемости на территории Российской Федерации в 2019 г.</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Review of the Current Epidemiological Situation on the Incidence of Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome in the World and Forecast of the Incidence for the Territory of the Russian Federation in 2019</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Савицкая</surname><given-names>Т. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Savitskaya</surname><given-names>T. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>67, ул. Б. Красная, Казань, 420015</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>67, Bolshaya Krasnaya St., Kazan, 420015</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">tatasav777@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Трифонов</surname><given-names>В. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Trifonov</surname><given-names>V. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>67, ул. Б. Красная, Казань, 420015;</p><p>Казань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>67, Bolshaya Krasnaya St., Kazan, 420015;</p><p>Kazan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kniem@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Исаева</surname><given-names>Г. Ш.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Isaeva</surname><given-names>G. Sh.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>67, ул. Б. Красная, Казань, 420015;</p><p>Казань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>67, Bolshaya Krasnaya St., Kazan, 420015;</p><p>Kazan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kniem@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-3"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Решетникова</surname><given-names>И. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Reshetnikova</surname><given-names>I. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>67, ул. Б. Красная, Казань, 420015;</p><p>Казань</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>67, Bolshaya Krasnaya St., Kazan, 420015;</p><p>Kazan</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kniem@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-4"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Пакскина</surname><given-names>Н. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pakskina</surname><given-names>N. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>127994, Москва, Вадковский переулок, дом 18, строение 5 и 7</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>18, Bld. 5 and 7, Vadkovsky Pereulok, Moscow, 127994</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-5"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Серова</surname><given-names>И. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Serova</surname><given-names>I. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>67, ул. Б. Красная, Казань, 420015</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>67, Bolshaya Krasnaya St., Kazan, 420015</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">kniem@mail.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Иванова</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ivanova</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>410005, Саратов, ул. Университетская, 46</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">rusrapi@microbe.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-6"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Сафронов</surname><given-names>В. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Safronov</surname><given-names>V. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>410005, Саратов, ул. Университетская, 46</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">rusrapi@microbe.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-6"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Попов</surname><given-names>Н. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Popov</surname><given-names>N. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>410005, Саратов, ул. Университетская, 46</p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">rusrapi@microbe.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-6"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФБУН «Казанский научно-исследовательский институт эпидемиологии и микробиологии»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Kazan Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФБУН «Казанский научно-исследовательский институт эпидемиологии и микробиологии»;&#13;
Казанская государственная медицинская академия – филиал ФГБОУ ДПО РМАНПО Минздрава России</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Kazan Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology;&#13;
Kazan State Medical Academy</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-3"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФБУН «Казанский научно-исследовательский институт эпидемиологии и микробиологии»;&#13;
ФГБОУ ВО «Казанский государственный медицинский университет»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Kazan Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology;&#13;
Kazan State Medical University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-4"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФБУН «Казанский научно-исследовательский институт эпидемиологии и микробиологии»;&#13;
Казанский (Приволжский) федеральный университет</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Kazan Research Institute of Epidemiology and Microbiology;&#13;
Kazan (Privolzhsky) Federal University</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-5"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Федеральная служба по надзору в сфере защиты прав потребителей и благополучия человека</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Federal Service for Surveillance in the Sphere of Consumers Rights Protection and Human Welfare</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-6"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФКУЗ «Российский научно-исследовательский противочумный институт «Микроб»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2019</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>01</day><month>07</month><year>2019</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>2</issue><fpage>30</fpage><lpage>36</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Савицкая Т.А., Трифонов В.А., Исаева Г.Ш., Решетникова И.Д., Пакскина Н.Д., Серова И.В., Иванова А.В., Сафронов В.А., Попов Н.В., 2019</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2019</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Савицкая Т.А., Трифонов В.А., Исаева Г.Ш., Решетникова И.Д., Пакскина Н.Д., Серова И.В., Иванова А.В., Сафронов В.А., Попов Н.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Savitskaya T.A., Trifonov V.A., Isaeva G.S., Reshetnikova I.D., Pakskina N.D., Serova I.V., Ivanova A.V., Safronov V.A., Popov N.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/1145">https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/1145</self-uri><abstract><p>Представлен анализ эпидемиологической обстановки по геморрагической лихорадке с почечным синдромом в мире и на территории Российской Федерации за период 2009–2018 гг. В 2018 г. в Российской Федерации зарегистрировано 5855 случаев ГЛПС (3,99 на 100 тыс. населения). Отмечено снижение заболеваемости по сравнению с 2017 г. на 29,6 %. Случаев групповой заболеваемости не зарегистрировано. Установлено, что наиболее высокий уровень заболеваемости, превышающий среднероссийский в 3,9 раза, отмечен в Приволжском федеральном округе, в котором зарегистрировано 77,5 % от всех случаев заболевания в 2018 г. в Российской Федерации. Выполнена дифференциация территории Российской Федерации по уровню заболеваемости ГЛПС. К территориям с высоким уровнем заболеваемости отнесены субъекты Российской Федерации с диапазоном интенсивного показателя от 9,08 до 41,39 на 100 тыс. населения, в том числе территории республик Башкортостан, Марий Эл, Татарстан и Мордовия, Удмуртской и Чувашской республик, Кировской, Нижегородской, Пензенской, Самарской, Ульяновской, Костромской, Ярославской областей и Еврейской автономной области. Обоснован прогноз на сохранение в 2019 г. напряженной эпидемиологической обстановки по ГЛПС в Приволжском федеральном округе.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper presents analysis of epidemiological situation on hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome around the world and in the Russian Federation over the period of 2009–2018. 5855 cases of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome were registered in Russia in 2018 (3.99 per one hundred thousand of the population). Downward trend is observed as compared to 2017 (by 29.6 %). Cases of cluster infection were not reported. It is established that the highest level of morbidity, exceeding the average level across Russia 3.9 times, was noted in the Volga Federal District, where 77.5% of the total cases occurred. The territory of the Russian Federation was differentiated by the HFRS incidence rates. The areas with high levels of morbidity included the entities of the Russian Federation with intensive index range between 9.08 and 41.39 per one hundred thousand of the population, among them Republics of Bashkortostan, Mari El, Tatarstan, and Mordovia, Udmurt and Chuvashi Republics, Kirov, Nizhny Novgorod, Penza, Samara, Ulyanovsk, Kostroma, Yaroslavl, and Jewish Autonomous Regions. The forecast for preservation of tense epidemiological situation on HFRS incidence in the territory of the Volga Federal District was substantiated.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>геморрагическая лихорадка с почечным синдромом</kwd><kwd>заболеваемость</kwd><kwd>эпидемиологический анализ</kwd><kwd>эпидемиологическая обстановка</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome</kwd><kwd>morbidity</kwd><kwd>epidemiological analysis</kwd><kwd>epidemiological situation</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ткаченко Е.А., Дзагурова Т.К., Бернштейн А.Д., Коротина Н.А., Окулова Н.М., Мутных Е.С., Иванов А.П., Ишмухаметов А.А., Юничева Ю.В., Пиликова О.М., Морозов В.Г., Транквилевский Д.В., Городин В.Н., Бахтина В.А., Соцкова С.Е. 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