microbeПроблемы особо опасных инфекцийProblems of Particularly Dangerous Infections0370-10692658-719XRussian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”10.21055/0370-1069-2021-2-41-51microbe-1480Research ArticleОБЗОРЫREVIEWSОб эпизоотолого-эпидемиологической ситуации по бруцеллезу в мире в 2011–2020 гг. и прогноз на 2021 г. в Российской ФедерацииEpizootiological and Epidemiological Situation on Brucellosis around the World in 2011–2020 and Forecast for the Russian Federation for 2021https://orcid.org/0000-0003-0422-6755ПономаренкоД. Г.PonomarenkoD. G.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

stavnipchi@mail.ruСкудареваО. Н.SkudarevaO. N.

Москва

Moscow

ХачатуроваА. А.KhachaturovaA. A.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

ГермановаА. Н.GermanovaA. N.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

ЛукашевичД. Е.LukashevichD. E.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1054-8937ЛогвиненкоО. В.LogvinenkoO. V.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6073-6544РакитинаЕ. Л.RakitinaE. L.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6068-6655КостюченкоМ. В.KostyuchenkoM. V.

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Stavropol

ЗинченкоД. А.ZinchenkoD. A.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

СеменкоО. В.SemenkoO. V.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3003-4952МалецкаяО. В.MaletskayaO. V.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9362-3949КуличенкоА. Н.КulichenkoA. N.

Ставрополь

Stavropol

ФКУЗ «Ставропольский научно-исследовательский противочумный институт»РоссияStavropol Research Anti-Plague InstituteRussian FederationФедеральная служба по надзору в сфере защиты прав потребителей и благополучия человекаРоссияFederal Service for Surveillance in the Sphere of Consumers Rights Protection and Human WelfareRussian Federation202120072021024151Copyright © Пономаренко Д.Г., Скударева О.Н., Хачатурова А.А., Германова А.Н., Лукашевич Д.Е., Логвиненко О.В., Ракитина Е.Л., Костюченко М.В., Зинченко Д.А., Семенко О.В., Малецкая О.В., Куличенко А.Н., 20212021Пономаренко Д.Г., Скударева О.Н., Хачатурова А.А., Германова А.Н., Лукашевич Д.Е., Логвиненко О.В., Ракитина Е.Л., Костюченко М.В., Зинченко Д.А., Семенко О.В., Малецкая О.В., Куличенко А.Н.Ponomarenko D.G., Skudareva O.N., Khachaturova A.A., Germanova A.N., Lukashevich D.E., Logvinenko O.V., Rakitina E.L., Kostyuchenko M.V., Zinchenko D.A., Semenko O.V., Maletskaya O.V., Кulichenko A.N.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/1480

Представлен анализ заболеваемости людей бруцеллезом в мире в 2011–2020 гг. Дана оценка эпизоотологоэпидемиологической ситуации по бруцеллезу в Российской Федерации в 2020 г. Отмечено, что эпидемиологическая обстановка по бруцеллезу в России за последние десять лет характеризовалась как неблагополучная с динамикой к снижению уровня заболеваемости на фоне стойкого эпизоотологического неблагополучия по бруцеллезу среди крупного и мелкого рогатого скота. В период 2011–2020 гг. зарегистрировано 3507 случаев впервые выявленного бруцеллеза среди людей. Среднее многолетнее количество заболевших составляет 350 случаев в год, в том числе среди детей до 17 лет – 28 случаев. Среднемноголетний интенсивный показатель заболеваемости на 100 тыс. населения составил 0,24, среди детей до 17 лет – 0,1. В 2020 г. в России выявлено 119 случаев заболевания людей бруцеллезом (0,08), что указывает на сохранение тенденции на улучшение эпидемической обстановки по бруцеллезу. Наибольшее количество случаев бруцеллеза среди людей зарегистрировано в СевероКавказском (77,1 % от общероссийской заболеваемости бруцеллезом) и Южном федеральных округах (13,5 %). В период с 2010 по 2020 г. (9 мес.) в Российской Федерации зарегистрировано 4610 неблагополучных пунктов по бруцеллезу КРС и 422 – по бруцеллезу овец и коз. Анализ развития ситуации по бруцеллезу в России указывает, что в среднесрочной перспективе при сохранении существующих тенденций имеется реальный риск широкого распространения бруцеллеза среди сельскохозяйственных животных в субъектах Центрального, Приволжского, Дальневосточного и Сибирского федеральных округов, а также сохранение эпизоотологического неблагополучия в Северо-Кавказском и Южном федеральных округах. С учетом текущей эпизоотолого-эпидемиологической обстановки и многолетней динамики развития ситуации по бруцеллезу в Российской Федерации в 2021 г. можно прогнозировать заболеваемость людей бруцеллезом на уровне ниже средних многолетних значений – 0,13–0,18 на 100 тыс. населения. 

Analysis of the incidence of human brucellosis in the world in 2011–2020 is presented in the paper. An assessment of the epizootiological-epidemiological situation on brucellosis in the Russian Federation in 2020 is performed. It is outlined that the epidemiological situation on brucellosis in Russia over the past decade was characterized as unfavorable with downward trend in the incidence rate against the background of persistent epizootiological insecurity among cattle and small ruminants. Between 2011 and 2020, 3507 first identified human cases of brucellosis were registered. The long-term average number of cases is 350 per year, including 28 cases among children under 17 years old. The average long-term intensive morbidity rate per 100 000 people was 0.24, among children under 17 – 0.1. In 2020, 119 human cases of brucellosis were detected in Russia (0.08), which indicates that the trend towards an improvement in the epidemiological situation on brucellosis continues. The largest number of brucellosis cases among people was registered in the North-Caucasian (77.1 % of the total incidence across Russia) and the Southern Federal District (13.5 %). In the period of 2010–2020 (9 months), 4610 areas potentially hazardous as regards bovine brucellosis and 422 – as regards brucellosis in sheep and goats were registered in the Russian Federation. Analysis of the development of brucellosis situation in Russia indicates that in the medium term, with the current trend maintained, there is a real risk of widespread brucellosis distribution among farm animals in the constituent entities of the Central, Volga, Far Eastern and Siberian Federal Districts, as well as the persistence of epizootiological insecurity in the North Caucasus and Southern Federal Districts. Taking into account the current epizootiological-epidemiological situation and the long-term dynamics of the development in the Russian Federation, one can predict the incidence of brucellosis in people at a level below the longterm average values – 0.13–0.18 per 100000 of the population in 2021.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.