microbeПроблемы особо опасных инфекцийProblems of Particularly Dangerous Infections0370-10692658-719XRussian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”10.21055/0370-1069-2022-2-36-45microbe-1691Research ArticleОБЗОРЫREVIEWSБруцеллез: тенденции развития ситуации в мире и прогноз на 2022 г. в Российской ФедерацииBrucellosis: Trends in the Development of Situation in the World and Forecast for 2022 in the Russian Federationhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0422-6755ПономаренкоД. Г.PonomarenkoD. G.

Пономаренко Дмитрий Григорьевич

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15 

Dmitry G. Ponomarenko

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruСкудареваО. Н.SkudarevaO. N.

 127994, Москва, Вадковский пер., 18, стр. 5 и 7 

 18, Bld. 5 and 7, Vadkovsky Lane, Moscow, 127994 

ХачатуроваА. А.KhachaturovaA. A.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruЛукашевичД. Е.LukashevichD. E.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruЖариноваИ. В.ZharinovaI. V.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruДауроваА. В.DaurovaA. V.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruГермановаА. Н.GermanovaA. N.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1054-8937ЛогвиненкоО. В.LogvinenkoO. V.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6073-6544РакитинаЕ. Л.RakitinaE. L.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6068-6655КостюченкоМ. В.KostyuchenkoM. V.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8163-7844МанинЕ. А.ManinE. A.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-3003-4952МалецкаяО. В.MaletskayaO. V.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-9362-3949КуличенкоА. Н.KulichenkoA. N.

 355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13–15

 13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035 

stavnipchi@mail.ruФКУЗ «Ставропольский научно-исследовательский противочумный институт»РоссияStavropol Research Anti-Plague InstituteRussian FederationФедеральная служба по надзору в сфере защиты прав потребителей и благополучия человекаРоссияFederal Service for Surveillance in the Sphere of Consumers Rights Protection and Human WelfareRussian Federation202208072022023645Copyright © Пономаренко Д.Г., Скударева О.Н., Хачатурова А.А., Лукашевич Д.Е., Жаринова И.В., Даурова А.В., Германова А.Н., Логвиненко О.В., Ракитина Е.Л., Костюченко М.В., Манин Е.А., Малецкая О.В., Куличенко А.Н., 20222022Пономаренко Д.Г., Скударева О.Н., Хачатурова А.А., Лукашевич Д.Е., Жаринова И.В., Даурова А.В., Германова А.Н., Логвиненко О.В., Ракитина Е.Л., Костюченко М.В., Манин Е.А., Малецкая О.В., Куличенко А.Н.Ponomarenko D.G., Skudareva O.N., Khachaturova A.A., Lukashevich D.E., Zharinova I.V., Daurova A.V., Germanova A.N., Logvinenko O.V., Rakitina E.L., Kostyuchenko M.V., Manin E.A., Maletskaya O.V., Kulichenko A.N.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/1691

Представлен анализ тенденций развития ситуации по бруцеллезу в мире за последние десять лет и данные об основных факторах риска возникновения эпидемиологических осложнений по бруцеллезу в различных регионах мира. Дана экспертная оценка современной эпизоотолого-эпидемиологической обстановки по бруцеллезу, объемов иммунизации населения и животных в Российской Федерации. За 9 месяцев 2021 г. в России зарегистрировано 210 неблагополучных пунктов по бруцеллезу крупного рогатого скота (КРС ) и 24 – по бруцеллезу мелкого рогатого скота (МРС ). По сравнению с аналогичным периодом 2020 г. отмечается снижение на 35,8 % (117 пунктов) количества впервые выявленных неблагополучных пунктов по бруцеллезу КРС . Сохраняется многолетний восходящий тренд эпизоотологического неблагополучия по бруцеллезу КРС в России. Эпидемиологическая ситуация по бруцеллезу в стране за период 2012–2021 гг. характеризуется как неблагополучная. Снижение количества впервые выявленного бруцеллеза у людей (на 25,1 % от среднемноголетних значений) наблюдается на фоне стойкого эпизоотического неблагополучия среди эпидемиологически значимых видов МРС и КРС в регионах с развитым животноводством. В 2021 г. зарегистрированы случаи группового заболевания людей в Республике Дагестан и Пензенской области. В Республике Дагестан на фоне ухудшения эпизоотолого-эпидемиологической обстановки отмечается тревожная тенденция по сохранению относительно высокой заболеваемости бруцеллезом среди несовершеннолетних. Доля случаев бруцеллеза среди детей до 17 лет в республике составила 60,3 % от общего числа несовершеннолетних с впервые выявленным бруцеллезом в России за последние десять лет. С учетом текущих эпизоотической, эпидемической ситуаций и многолетней динамики развития ситуации по бруцеллезу в Российской Федерации, в 2022 г. прогнозируется заболеваемость людей бруцеллезом на 10–15 % ниже средних многолетних значений – 0,18–0,20 на 100 тыс. населения. Количество заболеваний людей бруцеллезом может находиться в диапазоне 250–300 случаев.

An analysis of trends in the development of situation on brucellosis in the world over past decade and the data on the main risk factors for the occurrence of epidemiological complications regarding this infection in various regions of the world are provided in the paper. An expert assessment of the current epizootiological and epidemiological situation on brucellosis, the coverage of population and animals with immunization in the Russian Federation is given. Over 9 months of 2021, 210 potentially hazardous as regards brucellosis in cattle areas and 24 sites – as regards brucellosis in small ruminants – were registered in Russia. Compared to the same period in 2020, there was a decrease in the number of newly identified hazardous sites for bovine brucellosis by 35.8 % (117 areas). However, long-term upward trend in epizootiological adversity for bovine brucellosis in Russia persists. The epidemiological situation on brucellosis in the country for the period of 2012–2021 is characterized as unfavorable. Decrease in the number of newly detected human brucellosis cases (by 25.1 % of long-term average values) is observed against the background of persistent unfavorable epizootic conditions for brucellosis among epidemiologically significant species of small ruminants and cattle in regions with developed animal husbandry. In 2021, clusters of human cases were registered in the Republic of Dagestan and Penza Region. In the Republic of Dagestan, against the background of aggravation of epizootiological and epidemiological situation on brucellosis, there was also an alarming trend towards prevalence of a relatively high incidence among minors. The proportion of cases of brucellosis among children under the age of 17 in the Republic amounted to 60.3 % of the total number of minors with newly diagnosed brucellosis in Russia over the past 10 years. Taking into account current epizootic, epidemic situations and the long-term dynamics of the development of situation on  brucellosis in the Russian Federation, the incidence of brucellosis among the population  is predicted to be 10–15 % lower than the average long-term values – 0.18–0.20 per 100000 of the population – in 2022. The number of human cases of brucellosis can range from 250 to 300.

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.