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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">microbe</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы особо опасных инфекций</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0370-1069</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-719X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21055/0370-1069-2015-1-18-25</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">microbe-199</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОБЗОРЫ И ПРОГНОЗЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REVIEWS AND PROGNOSES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Холера: эпидемиологическая обстановка в мире в 2005-2014 гг., прогноз на 2015 г</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Cholera: Epidemiological Situation around the World in 2005-2014, and Prognosis for 2015</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Москвитина</surname><given-names>Э. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Moskvitina</surname><given-names>E. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Адаменко</surname><given-names>О. Л.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Adamenko</surname><given-names>O. L.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кругликов</surname><given-names>В. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kruglikov</surname><given-names>V. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Титова</surname><given-names>С. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Titova</surname><given-names>S. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Монахова</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Monakhova</surname><given-names>E. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Писанов</surname><given-names>Р. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pisanov</surname><given-names>R. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Иванова</surname><given-names>С. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ivanova</surname><given-names>S. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">protivochym@nln.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Анисимова</surname><given-names>Г. Б.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Anisimova</surname><given-names>G. B.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Ростовский-на-Дону научно-исследовательский противочумный институт</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Rostov-on-Don Research Anti-Plague Institute</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Противочумный центр</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Plague Control Center</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2015</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>03</month><year>2015</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>18</fpage><lpage>25</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Москвитина Э.А., Адаменко О.Л., Кругликов В.Д., Титова С.В., Монахова Е.В., Писанов Р.В., Иванова С.М., Анисимова Г.Б., 2015</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2015</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Москвитина Э.А., Адаменко О.Л., Кругликов В.Д., Титова С.В., Монахова Е.В., Писанов Р.В., Иванова С.М., Анисимова Г.Б.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Moskvitina E.A., Adamenko O.L., Kruglikov V.D., Titova S.V., Monakhova E.V., Pisanov R.V., Ivanova S.M., Anisimova G.B.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/199">https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/199</self-uri><abstract><p>При оценке эпидемиологической обстановки по холере в мире (2005-2014 гг.) установлено распространение инфекции в странах Африки, Азии, Америки, в регионе Карибского Бассейна, с межгосударственными и межконтинентальными завозами инфекции в страны Европы, Австралии с Океанией, Америки, в США и Канаду. Характерны разлитой в пространстве с поражением новых стран, административных территорий и хронический во времени типы эпидемического процесса (Америка, страны Карибского Бассейна; Африка), связанные с чрезвычайными ситуациями природного и социального характера. Наряду с эпидемиями и вспышками, обусловленными генетически измененными вариантами V. choleraе O1 El Tor и штаммами с множественной резистентностью к антибиотикам, в странах Юго-Восточной Азии (Китай) ежегодно имеют место вспышки с выделением из клинического материала V. choleraе O139 серогруппы. Прогноз по холере в мире на 2015 г. остается неблагоприятным, что, в свою очередь, определяет возможность завоза инфекции в Россию.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>Cholera epidemiological situation around the world (2005-2014) has been assessed. Distribution of infection in the territory of African, Asian, and American countries, as well as in the Caribbean Region has been shown. Interstate and inter-continental importations of cholera in Europe, Australia, and America, including USA and Canada have taken place during this period. Epidemic process is spatially disseminated (with involvement and affection of new countries and administrative territories) and temporally chronic (America, the Caribbean Region; Africa) due to occurring of natural or social emergency situations. Alongside epidemics and outbreaks of the disease, caused by genetically altered variants of V. cholerae O1 El Tor and strains with multiple drug resistance, outbreaks with isolation of clinical strains of V. cholerae O139 serogroup take place in the Southeast Asia (China) on an annual basis. The forecast for 2015, as regards cholera in the world, stays unfavorable, which in its turn allows for the possibility to import this infection in the territory of the Russian Federation.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>холера</kwd><kwd>эпидемиологическая обстановка</kwd><kwd>социальные и природные факторы</kwd><kwd>V cholerae O1</kwd><kwd>V cholerae О139</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd><kwd>cholera</kwd><kwd>epidemiological situation</kwd><kwd>social and natural factors</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Международные медико-санитарные правила (2005 г.). Всемирная организация здравоохранения. Женева; 2006. 79 с.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">International Health Regulations (2005). WHO. 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