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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">microbe</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы особо опасных инфекций</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0370-1069</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-719X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21055/0370-1069-2015-1-51-53</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">microbe-205</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ЭПИДЕМИОЛОГИЯ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>EPIDEMIOLOGY</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Универсальная модель локальных эпидемий, вызываемых возбудителями особо опасных инфекций: моделирование новых инфекций</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Universal Model of Local Epidemics Caused by the Agents of Particularly Dangerous Infections: Simulation of New Infections</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Бачинский</surname><given-names>А. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Bachinsky</surname><given-names>A. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">vector@vector.nsc.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Низоленко</surname><given-names>Л. Ф.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Nizolenko</surname><given-names>L. F.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">vector@vector.nsc.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Государственный научный центр вирусологии и биотехнологии «Вектор»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>State Research Centre of Virology and Biotechnology “Vector”</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2015</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>03</month><year>2015</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>51</fpage><lpage>53</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Бачинский А.Г., Низоленко Л.Ф., 2015</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2015</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Бачинский А.Г., Низоленко Л.Ф.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Bachinsky A.G., Nizolenko L.F.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/205">https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/205</self-uri><abstract><p>Целью настоящей работы является иллюстрация того, как, используя интерфейс к разработанной в ГНЦ ВБ «Вектор» универсальной модели локальных эпидемий/вспышек, то есть развивающихся в замкнутой популяции, задать параметры интересующей пользователя инфекции, не включенной в список тех, к которым модель уже адаптирована. В модели задается спектр основных мер противодействия, включающих профилактическую вакцинацию и вакцинацию, проводимую уже в ходе эпидемии, поиск и изоляцию/наблюдение больных, контактных и лиц, подозрительных на заболевание, карантин. Специалистам, работающим с моделью удаленно, предоставлена возможность задавать параметры расчета эпидемий и рассчитывать различные сценарии их развития в зависимости от имеющихся ресурсов, необходимых для реализации мер противодействия. Модель доступна по адресу http://vector-epimod.ru.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The paper illustrates the process of setting up the parameters for simulation of the infection which is of interest to the consumer but is not included in the list of those the model is already adapted to, using the interface of the universal model of local epidemics, developing within a closed population, designed at the SRC VB “Vector”. The user presets the specter of major countermeasures, including preventive vaccination and vaccination performed directly in the course of epidemic, detection and isolation/follow up of the patients, contact tracing, screening of the suspected ones, and quarantine. Specialists working with the model in a remote mode are provided with the possibility to set determination parameters for epidemics and predict various scenarios of their development depending upon available resources, necessary for realization of the countermeasures. The model is available at: http://vector-epimod.ru.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>эпидемия</kwd><kwd>математическая модель</kwd><kwd>меры противодействия</kwd><kwd>ресурсы</kwd><kwd>epidemic</kwd><kwd>mathematical model</kwd><kwd>countermeasures</kwd><kwd>resources</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Бачинский А.Г. Математическая модель локальной эпидемии натуральной оспы с учетом мер противодействия и ресурсных ограничений. 30 лет после ликвидации оспы: исследования продолжаются. Кольцово: Информ-Экспресс; 2010. С. 253-80</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Bachinsky A.G. [Mathematical model of smallpox local epidemic taking into account countermeasures and resource limitation. 30 years after smallpox eradication: investigations continue]. Kol’tsovo: Inform-Express; 2010. 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