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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">microbe</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы особо опасных инфекций</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0370-1069</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-719X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21055/0370-1069-2025-4-26-38</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">microbe-2245</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОБЗОРЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REVIEWS</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Глобальные эпидемиологические угрозы: обзор эпидемиологической ситуации в мире и оценка риска заноса опасных инфекционных болезней на территорию Российской Федерации</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Global Epidemiological Threats: A Review of the Worldwide Epidemiological Situation and an Assessment of the Risk of Dangerous Infectious Diseases Importation to the Russian Federation</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2994-473X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Поспелов</surname><given-names>М. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pospelov</surname><given-names>M. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="ru"><p>Поспелов Михаил Валерьевич, </p><p> </p></bio><bio xml:lang="en"><p>Mikhail V. Pospelov, </p><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><email xlink:type="simple">rusrapi@microbe.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4849-3866</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Иванова</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ivanova</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8741-5756</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Зубова</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Zubova</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9828-3277</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Касьян</surname><given-names>Ж. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kas’yan</surname><given-names>Zh. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9877-5258</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Чумачкова</surname><given-names>Е. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Chumachkova</surname><given-names>E. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0009-0004-5648-7003</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Мартынова</surname><given-names>А. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Martynova</surname><given-names>A. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3564-985X</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Дмитриева</surname><given-names>Л. Н.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Dmitrieva</surname><given-names>L. N.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><contrib-id contrib-id-type="orcid">https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9686-9020</contrib-id><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Куклев</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kuklev</surname><given-names>E. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><bio xml:lang="en"><p>46, Universitetskaya St., Saratov, 410005</p></bio><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>ФКУН «Российский научно-исследовательский противочумный институт «Микроб»</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2025</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>14</day><month>01</month><year>2026</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>4</issue><fpage>26</fpage><lpage>38</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Поспелов М.В., Иванова А.В., Зубова А.А., Касьян Ж.А., Чумачкова Е.А., Мартынова А.А., Дмитриева Л.Н., Куклев Е.В., 2026</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2026</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Поспелов М.В., Иванова А.В., Зубова А.А., Касьян Ж.А., Чумачкова Е.А., Мартынова А.А., Дмитриева Л.Н., Куклев Е.В.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Pospelov M.V., Ivanova A.V., Zubova A.A., Kas’yan Z.A., Chumachkova E.A., Martynova A.A., Dmitrieva L.N., Kuklev E.V.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/2245">https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/2245</self-uri><abstract><p>В статье представлен обзор актуальной эпидемиологической ситуации в мире с акцентом на риски заноса опасных инфекционных и паразитарных болезней на территорию Российской Федерации. Анализ основан на данных международных организаций, национальных органов здравоохранения, научных публикаций и электронных систем оперативного оповещения. Рассчитаны вероятности заноса инфекций с учетом пассажиропотока и эпидемиологической ситуации в странах-донорах. Результаты структурированы по шести регионам ВОЗ на основе классификации Всемирной организации здравоохранения. При описании соответствующего региона кратко обозначены общие причины эпидемиологического неблагополучия, вклад в мировую заболеваемость, описаны наиболее крупные вспышки, отмечены пробелы в понимании научным сообществом истинной заболеваемости по ряду инфекций на различных территориях. Обобщенные выводы могут быть использованы специалистами в области санитарной охраны границ и эпидемиологического надзора для принятия решений по предупреждению распространения инфекционных угроз. Проведенный анализ подтверждает необходимость постоянного совершенствования подходов к осуществлению мер по санитарной охране территории в связи с неизбежно возникающими эпидемиологическими угрозами. Они, в свою очередь, связаны с постоянными рисками завоза не теряющих актуальность известных инфекций из эндемичных стран, с «возвращающимися» и новыми, эмерджентными инфекциями, распространением инфекционных болезней на ранее неэндемичные области.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>The review presents the current global epidemiological situation, with a focus on the risks of importation of dangerous infectious and parasitic diseases into the Russian Federation. The analysis is based on data from international organizations, national health authorities, scientific publications, and electronic outbreak reporting systems. Probabilities of disease importation were estimated taking into account passenger traffic and the epidemiological status of source countries. The findings are structured according to the six regions, following the World Health Organization regional classification. When describing the relevant region, the general causes of epidemiological problems and the contribution to global morbidity are briefly outlined, the largest outbreaks are described, and gaps in the scientific community’s understanding of the true incidence of a number of infections in various territories are noted. The synthesized conclusions may be of practical value to professionals involved in border sanitary protection and epidemiological surveillance in the context of preventing the spread of infectious threats. The analysis underscores the ongoing need to improve approaches to sanitary protection measures in response to evolving epidemiological threats. These threats are driven by persistent risks of importing well-known infections from endemic countries, the resurgence of previously controlled diseases, the emergence of novel pathogens, and the geographic expansion of infections into previously non-endemic areas.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>эпидемиологическая ситуация</kwd><kwd>санитарная охрана</kwd><kwd>особо опасные инфекции</kwd><kwd>риски завоза</kwd><kwd>эпидемические осложнения</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>epidemiological situation</kwd><kwd>sanitary protection</kwd><kwd>particularly dangerous infectious diseases</kwd><kwd>importation risks</kwd><kwd>epidemic complications</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Зубова А.А., Иванова А.В., Щербакова С.А., Куклев Е.В., Топорков В.П., Бойко А.В. 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