microbeПроблемы особо опасных инфекцийProblems of Particularly Dangerous Infections0370-10692658-719XRussian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”10.21055/0370-1069-2026-3-53-68microbe-2387Research ArticleОБЗОРЫREVIEWSЭпидемиологическая и эпизоотологическая характеристика бруцеллеза в мире и анализ ситуации в Российской Федерации в 2025 г. с краткосрочным прогнозомGlobal Epidemiological and Epizootiological Characteristics of Brucellosis and Analysis of the Situation in the Russian Federation in 2025 with a Short-Term Forecasthttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-0422-6755ПономаренкоД. Г.PonomarenkoD. G.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9513-0761КузнецоваИ. В.KuznetsovaI. V.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035

post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0004-6497-2420КондратьеваЮ. В.Kondrat’evaYu. V.

Кондратьева Юлия Викторовна.

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Yuliya V. Kondrat’eva.

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kondratyeva_uv@snipchi.ruИришковаИ. Е.IrishkovaI. E.

127994, Москва, Вадковский пер., 18, стр. 5 и 7

18, building 5 and 7, Vadkovsky Lane, Moscow, 127994

СкудареваО. Н.SkudarevaO. N.

127994, Москва, Вадковский пер., 18, стр. 5 и 7

18, building 5 and 7, Vadkovsky Lane, Moscow, 127994

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4896-9369ТранквилевскийД. В.TrankvilevskyD. V.

117105, Москва, Варшавское шоссе, 19а

19a, Varshavskoe Highway, Moscow, 117105

trankvilevskiy@mail.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0007-9330-8256ДеригузТ. В.DeriguzT. V.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0002-9283-0484БрянцеваЕ. П.BryantsevaE. P.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1054-8937ЛогвиненкоО. В.LogvinenkoO. V.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

13–15, Sovetskaya St., Stavropol, 355035

post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6073-6544РакитинаЕ. Л.RakitinaE. L.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-6068-6655КостюченкоМ. В.KostyuchenkoM. V.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0000-7545-2464ТембайТ. В.TembayT. V.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-8163-7844МанинЕ. А.ManinE. A.

355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruhttps://orcid.org/0009-0007-8555-0683ТаликинаТ. О.TalikinaT. O.

664047, Иркутск, ул. Трилиссера, 78

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adm@chumin.irkutsk.ruВишняковВ. А.VishnyakovV. A.

664047, Иркутск, ул. Трилиссера, 78

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664047, Иркутск, ул. Трилиссера, 78

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355035, Ставрополь, ул. Советская, 13-15

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post@snipchi.ruСтавропольский научно-исследовательский противочумный институтРоссияStavropol Research Anti-Plague InstituteRussian FederationФедеральная служба по надзору в сфере защиты прав потребителей и благополучия человекаРоссияFederal Service for Surveillance on Consumers Rights Protection and Human WellbeingRussian FederationФедеральный центр гигиены и эпидемиологии; Российская медицинская академия непрерывного профессионального образования; Институт дезинфектологии ФНГЦ им. Ф.Ф. ЭрисманаРоссияFederal Center of Hygiene and Epidemiology; Russian Medical Academy of Continuing Professional Education of the Ministry of Health of the Russian Federation; Institute of Disinfectology of the Federal Scientific Center of Hygiene named after F.F. ErismanRussian FederationИркутский научно-исследовательский противочумный институт Сибири и Дальнего ВостокаРоссияIrkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia and the Far EastRussian Federation202608102026035368Copyright © Пономаренко Д.Г., Кузнецова И.В., Кондратьева Ю.В., Иришкова И.Е., Скударева О.Н., Транквилевский Д.В., Деригуз Т.В., Брянцева Е.П., Логвиненко О.В., Ракитина Е.Л., Костюченко М.В., Тембай Т.В., Семенко О.В., Манин Е.А., Таликина Т.О., Вишняков В.А., Толмачёва М.И., Куликалова Е.С., Дугаржапова З.Ф., Куличенко А.Н., 20262026Пономаренко Д.Г., Кузнецова И.В., Кондратьева Ю.В., Иришкова И.Е., Скударева О.Н., Транквилевский Д.В., Деригуз Т.В., Брянцева Е.П., Логвиненко О.В., Ракитина Е.Л., Костюченко М.В., Тембай Т.В., Семенко О.В., Манин Е.А., Таликина Т.О., Вишняков В.А., Толмачёва М.И., Куликалова Е.С., Дугаржапова З.Ф., Куличенко А.Н.Ponomarenko D.G., Kuznetsova I.V., Kondrat’eva Y.V., Irishkova I.E., Skudareva O.N., Trankvilevsky D.V., Deriguz T.V., Bryantseva E.P., Logvinenko O.V., Rakitina E.L., Kostyuchenko M.V., Tembay T.V., Semenko O.V., Manin E.A., Talikina T.O., Vishnyakov V.A., Tolmacheva M.I., Kulikalova E.S., Dugarzhapova Z.F., Kulichenko A.N.Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/2387

В обзоре представлена характеристика эпизоотической и эпидемической ситуации по бруцеллезу в странах мира. На основании экспертной оценки дан краткосрочный прогноз заболеваемости на территории Российской Федерации в 2026 г. В мире наблюдается тенденция к росту заболеваемости людей бруцеллезом в регионах с развитым животноводством на энзоотичных территориях, за исключением стран Евросоюза, где отмечено снижение количества случаев бруцеллеза, при этом около половины из них связаны с поездками в энзоотичные страны или употреблением ввезенной оттуда продукции животноводства. За последние четыре года в Российской Федерации отмечается тревожный тренд роста заболеваемости людей бруцеллезом на 25–40 % относительно среднемноголетних показателей. Кроме того, в 2022–2025 гг. в сравнении с периодом 2016–2019 гг. установлено увеличение среднего количества субъектов (преимущественно в Центральном и Приволжском федеральных округах), в которых регистрировались эпидемические очаги бруцеллеза (26,3 %), что указывает на расширение географии вспышек инфекции. К одному из ведущих факторов ухудшения эпизоотической ситуации по бруцеллезу можно отнести системный кризис ветеринарного надзора, низкую эффективность контроля регистрации и перемещения скота. Учитывая тенденцию развития ситуации по бруцеллезу, в 2026 г. прогнозируется уровень заболеваемости на 30–40 % выше средних многолетних значений. Количество заболеваний людей бруцеллезом в Российской Федерации может находиться на уровне 2024–2025 гг. в диапазоне 500–550 случаев (0,35–0,38 на 100 тыс. населения).

This review characterizes global epizootic and epidemic situation regarding brucellosis. Based on an expert assessment, a short-term forecast for incidence of the disease in the Russian Federation for 2026 is provided. Globally, there is an upward trend in human brucellosis incidence in regions with developed livestock farming within endemic areas, with the exception of European Union countries, where a decline in cases of brucellosis has been observed (though approximately half of these cases are linked to traveling to endemic countries or consumption of imported animal products). Over the past four years, the Russian Federation has seen an alarming 25–40 % increase in human brucellosis incidence compared to long-term average figures. Furthermore, a comparison of 2022–2025 period with 2016–2019 reveals (26.3 %) increase in the average number of constituent entities (primarily in the Central and Volga Federal Districts) reporting brucellosis outbreaks, indicating a geographical expansion of the infection. One of leading factors contributing to deterioration of epizootic situation regarding brucellosis is systemic crisis in veterinary monitoring and low effectiveness of control over livestock registration and movement. Given these trends, incidence rate in 2026 is projected to be 30–40 % higher than long-term average values. The number of human brucellosis cases in the Russian Federation is expected to remain consistent with 2024–2025 levels, falling within the range of 500–550 cases (0.35–0.38 per 100,000 population).

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The authors declare that there are no conflicts of interest present.