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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">microbe</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы особо опасных инфекций</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0370-1069</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-719X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21055/0370-1069-2016-1-20-27</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">microbe-280</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОБЗОРЫ И ПРОГНОЗЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REVIEWS AND PROGNOSES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Холера: оценка эпидемиологической обстановки в мире и России в 2006-2015 гг. прогноз на 2016 г</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Cholera: Analysis of Epidemiological Situation across the World and in Russia within a Period of 2006-2015</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Титова</surname><given-names>С. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Titova</surname><given-names>S. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Москвитина</surname><given-names>Э. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Moskvitina</surname><given-names>E. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Кругликов</surname><given-names>В. Д.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kruglikov</surname><given-names>V. D.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Самородова</surname><given-names>А. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Samorodova</surname><given-names>A. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Тюленева</surname><given-names>Е. Г.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Tyuleneva</surname><given-names>E. G.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Монахова</surname><given-names>Е. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Monakhova</surname><given-names>E. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Писанов</surname><given-names>Р. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Pisanov</surname><given-names>R. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Водопьянов</surname><given-names>А. С.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Vodop’Yanov</surname><given-names>A. S.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Архангельская</surname><given-names>И. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Arkhangel’Skaya</surname><given-names>I. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Иванова</surname><given-names>С. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Ivanova</surname><given-names>S. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">protivochym@nln.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-2"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ковалева</surname><given-names>Т. В.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Kovaleva</surname><given-names>T. V.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Водопьянов</surname><given-names>С. О.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Vodop’Yanov</surname><given-names>S. O.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Ростовский-на-Дону научно-исследовательский противочумный институт</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Rostov-on-Don Research Anti-Plague Institute</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><aff-alternatives id="aff-2"><aff xml:lang="ru"><institution>Противочумный центр</institution><country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en"><institution>Plague Control Center</institution><country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2016</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>03</month><year>2016</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1</issue><fpage>20</fpage><lpage>27</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Титова С.В., Москвитина Э.А., Кругликов В.Д., Самородова А.В., Тюленева Е.Г., Монахова Е.В., Писанов Р.В., Водопьянов А.С., Архангельская И.В., Иванова С.М., Ковалева Т.В., Водопьянов С.О., 2016</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2016</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Титова С.В., Москвитина Э.А., Кругликов В.Д., Самородова А.В., Тюленева Е.Г., Монахова Е.В., Писанов Р.В., Водопьянов А.С., Архангельская И.В., Иванова С.М., Ковалева Т.В., Водопьянов С.О.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Titova S.V., Moskvitina E.A., Kruglikov V.D., Samorodova A.V., Tyuleneva E.G., Monakhova E.V., Pisanov R.V., Vodop’Yanov A.S., Arkhangel’Skaya I.V., Ivanova S.M., Kovaleva T.V., Vodop’Yanov S.O.</copyright-holder><license xml:lang="ru" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>Данная работа распространяется под лицензией Creative Commons Attribution 4.0.</license-p></license><license xml:lang="en" license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/280">https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/280</self-uri><abstract><p>При оценке эпидемиологической обстановки по холере в мире установлена тенденция снижения заболеваемости в 2015 г. при среднем ежегодном темпе 10,225 % (относительно 2006 г.). Впервые определен эпидемиологический год при холере за 2014-2015 гг. Имевшие место в 2015 г. межгосударственные (Африка, Азия), межконтинентальные завозы холеры из региона Карибского бассейна (Кубы) и Азии в Америку (Канаду) и Европу (Великобританию, Италию, Бельгию и Германию) остаются основными эпидемиологическими рисками в распространении инфекции на глобальном уровне. В 2015 г. выявлена 21 эндемичная по холере административная территория в восьми странах Африки, Америки, в регионе Карибского бассейна и в Азии. Эпидемиологические осложнения обусловлены в основном V. cholerae О1 биовара El Tor, продуцирующими холерный токсин классического типа, а также V. cholerae O1 биовара Classical и V. cholerae О139 серогруппы. Эпидемические проявления холеры в России характеризовались завозами инфекции российскими гражданами, возвратившимися из-за рубежа; выделением из поверхностных водоемов V. cholerae О1 биовара Эль Тор ctxA- tcpA-, ctxA- tcpA+ и V. cholerae О139 ctxA- и tcpA- , а также единичных V. cholerae О1 биовара Эль Тор ctxA+ tcpA+. Прогноз по холере на глобальном уровне и в России на 2016 г. остается неблагоприятным.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>In the course of assessment of epidemiological situation around the world in 2015, established has been the tendency to incidence rate reduction, with the annual average tempo - 10.225 % (in reference to 2006). For the first time ever, defined has been equivalent epidemiological year in case of cholera within an interval between 2014-2015.The key epidemiological risks of infection transmission globally are still inter-state (Africa, Asia) and extra-continental imports of cholera from the Caribbean (Cuba) and Asia into America (Canada) and Europe (Great Britain, Italy, Belgium, and Germany), which took place in 2015 too. Identified have been 21 endemic administrative territories in eight countries of Africa, America, the Caribbean, and Asia. Epidemiological complications are mainly caused by V. cholerae O1, biovar El Tor, producing cholera toxin of classical type, as well as by V. cholerae O1, classical biovar, and V. cholerae O139 serogroup. Epidemic manifestations of cholera in the Russian Federation are characterized by import of the infection by citizens returning from abroad; the isolation from surface water bodies of V. cholerae O1, biovar El Tor ctxA- tcpA-, ctxA-tcpA+ and V. cholerae O139 ctxA-and tcpA-, as well as of single V. cholerae O1, biovar El Tor ctxA+tcpA+. Forecast on cholera world-wide and in Russia for 2016 remains unfavorable.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>холера</kwd><kwd>эпидемиологическая обстановка</kwd><kwd>завозы</kwd><kwd>эндемичные территории</kwd><kwd>V cholerae O1</kwd><kwd>V cholerae O1 Classical</kwd><kwd>V cholerae О139</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd><kwd>cholera</kwd><kwd>epidemiological situation</kwd><kwd>import cases</kwd><kwd>endemic territories</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Доклад Генерального секретаря о Миссии Организации Объединенных Наций по стабилизации в Гаити. S/215/667. Организация Объединенных наций. Совет Безопасности. http://daccess-dds-ny.un.org/doc/UNDOC/GEN/N15/259/73/PDF/N1525973.pdf (дата обращения 07.01.2016 г.).</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">[Secretary General Report on United Nations Stabilization Mission in Haiti]. 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