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<article article-type="research-article" dtd-version="1.3" xmlns:mml="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xmlns:xsi="http://www.w3.org/2001/XMLSchema-instance" xml:lang="ru"><front><journal-meta><journal-id journal-id-type="publisher-id">microbe</journal-id><journal-title-group><journal-title xml:lang="ru">Проблемы особо опасных инфекций</journal-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections</trans-title></trans-title-group></journal-title-group><issn pub-type="ppub">0370-1069</issn><issn pub-type="epub">2658-719X</issn><publisher><publisher-name>Russian Research Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”</publisher-name></publisher></journal-meta><article-meta><article-id pub-id-type="doi">10.21055/0370-1069-2011-1(107)-16-19</article-id><article-id custom-type="elpub" pub-id-type="custom">microbe-579</article-id><article-categories><subj-group subj-group-type="heading"><subject>Research Article</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="ru"><subject>ОБЗОРЫ И ПРОГНОЗЫ</subject></subj-group><subj-group subj-group-type="section-heading" xml:lang="en"><subject>REVIEWS AND PROGNOSES</subject></subj-group></article-categories><title-group><article-title>Оценка эпидемиологической обстановки по холере в мире в современный период. Прогноз</article-title><trans-title-group xml:lang="en"><trans-title>Assessment of Cholera Epidemiological Situation in the World in the Present Period. Prognosis</trans-title></trans-title-group></title-group><contrib-group><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Ломов</surname><given-names>Ю. М.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Lomov</surname><given-names>Yu. M.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">plague@aaanet.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Москвитина</surname><given-names>Э. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Moskvitina</surname><given-names>E. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Арешина</surname><given-names>О. А.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Areshina</surname><given-names>O. A.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib><contrib contrib-type="author" corresp="yes"><name-alternatives><name name-style="eastern" xml:lang="ru"><surname>Адаменко</surname><given-names>О. Л.</given-names></name><name name-style="western" xml:lang="en"><surname>Adamenko</surname><given-names>O. L.</given-names></name></name-alternatives><email xlink:type="simple">noemail@neicon.ru</email><xref ref-type="aff" rid="aff-1"/></contrib></contrib-group><aff-alternatives id="aff-1"><aff xml:lang="ru">Ростовский-на-Дону научно-исследовательский противочумный институт<country>Россия</country></aff><aff xml:lang="en">Rostov-on-Don Research Anti-Plague Institute<country>Russian Federation</country></aff></aff-alternatives><pub-date pub-type="collection"><year>2011</year></pub-date><pub-date pub-type="epub"><day>20</day><month>02</month><year>2011</year></pub-date><volume>0</volume><issue>1(107)</issue><fpage>16</fpage><lpage>19</lpage><permissions><copyright-statement>Copyright &amp;#x00A9; Ломов Ю.М., Москвитина Э.А., Арешина О.А., Адаменко О.Л., 2011</copyright-statement><copyright-year>2011</copyright-year><copyright-holder xml:lang="ru">Ломов Ю.М., Москвитина Э.А., Арешина О.А., Адаменко О.Л.</copyright-holder><copyright-holder xml:lang="en">Lomov Y.M., Moskvitina E.A., Areshina O.A., Adamenko O.L.</copyright-holder><license license-type="creative-commons-attribution" xlink:href="https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/" xlink:type="simple"><license-p>This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.</license-p></license></permissions><self-uri xlink:href="https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/579">https://journal.microbe.ru/jour/article/view/579</self-uri><abstract><p>Первое десятилетие ХХI века характеризуется крупными эпидемиями и вспышками холеры в странах Африки и Азии, а также Северной Америки с заносами инфекции из эндемичных очагов практически ежегодно на все континенты, с тенденцией к росту мировой заболеваемости, что определяет неблагоприятный прогноз на глобальном уровне. Эпидемия холеры в регионе Карибского бассейна, в Гаити, обусловленная V. cholerae eltor с геном ctxB холерного токсина классического биовара, вероятно, определит начало нового периода в развитии седьмой пандемии холеры или начало новой пандемии.</p></abstract><trans-abstract xml:lang="en"><p>In the first decade of the XXI century large-scale cholera epidemics and outbreaks were registered in African, Asian, and North American countries. Importation of infection from endemic foci to all continents took place almost every year, and the tendency of global cholera morbidity growth was observed. All that determined unfavorable prognosis on cholera at the global level. Cholera epidemic in the Caribbean Basin region, Haiti, caused by V.cholerae El Tor harboring cholera toxin ctxB gene of classical biovar is expected to predetermine either the beginning of a new period of the seventh pandemic or the onset of new pandemic.</p></trans-abstract><kwd-group xml:lang="ru"><kwd>холера</kwd><kwd>холерные вибрионы</kwd><kwd>эпидемиологическая обстановка</kwd><kwd>заносы</kwd><kwd>прогноз</kwd></kwd-group><kwd-group xml:lang="en"><kwd>cholera</kwd><kwd>cholera vibrios</kwd><kwd>epidemiological situation</kwd><kwd>importation</kwd><kwd>prognosis</kwd></kwd-group></article-meta></front><back><ref-list><title>References</title><ref id="cit1"><label>1</label><citation-alternatives><mixed-citation xml:lang="ru">Ломов Ю.М., Москвитина Э.А. Эпидемиологическая обстановка по холере в мире, странах СНГ и России. Прогноз. Пробл. особо опасных инф. 2010; 2(104):11-3.</mixed-citation><mixed-citation xml:lang="en">Lomov Yu.M., Moskvitina E.A. 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