Epizootic Activity of Natural Plague Foci in the Russian Federation in 2013 and Prognosis for the Year of 2014
https://doi.org/10.21055/0370-1069-2014-2-13-18
Abstract
Analyzed are the data of the epizootiologic survey of plague enzootic territories in Russia in 2013. Evaluated are the numbers of major carriers and vectors as well as the epizootic activity of natural foci of different types. Analysis of preconditions for decrease of epizootic potential of plague natural foci of Caucasus, Altai and Tyva is carried out. Single findings of infected fleas are registered at the sites of steady focality in the territory of Pre-Caspian lowland. Forecast of epizootic situation for 2014 is presented. Marked is raising probability that Volga-Ural sandy and Central Caucasian high-mountain plague foci would get out of the inter-epizootic period state. Substantiated are the possibility of plague epizootics continuation and their intensity in Pre-Caspian sandy, Altai and Tyva mountain, and Eastern-Caucasus high-mountain plague natural foci.
Keywords
природные очаги чумы,
эпизоотическая активность,
численность носителей и переносчиков чумы,
изменение климата,
долгосрочный и краткосрочный эпизоотологические прогнозы,
natural plague foci,
epizootic activity,
number of carriers and vectores of plague,
climate change,
short-term and long term epizootiological forecast
About the Authors
N. V. Popov
Russian Researcih Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. E. Bezsmertny
Plague Control Center
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. P. Toporkov
Russian Researcih Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
A. N. Matrosov
Russian Researcih Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
T. V. Knyazeva
Russian Researcih Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
A. A. Kuznetsov
Russian Researcih Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. P. Popov
Plague Control Center
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
D. B. Verzhutsky
Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia and Far East
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. M. Korzun
Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia and Far East
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
E. V. Chipanin
Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia and Far East
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. M. Dubyansky
Stavropol Research Anti-Plague Institute
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
O. V. Maletskaya
Stavropol Research Anti-Plague Institute
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
M. P. Grigoryev
Stavropol Research Anti-Plague Institute
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
S. V. Balakhonov
Irkutsk Research Anti-Plague Institute of Siberia and Far East
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
A. N. Kulichenko
Stavropol Research Anti-Plague Institute
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
V. V. Kutyrev
Russian Researcih Anti-Plague Institute “Microbe”
Russian Federation
Russian Federation
References
1. Popov N.V., Bezsmertny V.E., Toporkov V.P., Kuznetsov A.A., Matrosov A.N., Knyazeva T.V., Popov V.P., Verzhutsky D.B., Korzun V.M., Chipanin E.V., Dubyansky V.M., Maletskaya O.V., Grigoryev M.P., Balakhonov S.V., Kulichenko A.N., Kutyrev V.V. [Epizootic Activity of Natural Plague Foci in the Russian Federation in 2012 and Prognosis for the Year of 2013]. Probl. Osobo Opasn. Infek. 2013; 1:5–10.
2. Popov N.V., Bezsmertny V.E., Udovikov A.I., Kuznetsov A.A., Sludsky A.A., Matrosov A.N., Knyazeva T.V., Fedorov Yu.M., Popov V.P., Grazhdanov A.K., Ayazbaev T.Z., Yakovlev S.A., Karavaeva T.B., Kutyrev V.V. [Impact of the Present-Day Climate Changes on the Natural Plague Foci Condition, Situated in the Territory of the Russian Federation and Other CIS Countries]. Probl. Osobo Opasn. Infek. 2013; 3:23–8.
3. Popov N.V., Toporkov V.P., Bezsmertny V.E., Popov V.P., Kuznetsov A.A., Matrosov A.N., Sludsky A.A., Udovikov A.I., Karavaeva T.B., Merkulova T.K., Kutyrev V.V. [Long-term prognosis of epizootic activity of plague natural foci in the Russian Federation as the basis for prophylactic measures efficiency enhancement]. Zhizn Bez Opasnostey. Zdorov`e. Profilaktika. Dolgoletie. 2012; 7(3):13–7.
Review
For citations:
Popov N.V., Bezsmertny V.E., Toporkov V.P., Matrosov A.N., Knyazeva T.V., Kuznetsov A.A., Popov V.P., Verzhutsky D.B., Korzun V.M., Chipanin E.V., Dubyansky V.M., Maletskaya O.V., Grigoryev M.P., Balakhonov S.V., Kulichenko A.N., Kutyrev V.V. Epizootic Activity of Natural Plague Foci in the Russian Federation in 2013 and Prognosis for the Year of 2014. Problems of Particularly Dangerous Infections. 2014;(2):13-18. (In Russ.) https://doi.org/10.21055/0370-1069-2014-2-13-18
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